Mitsui Seeks Copper Acquisitions With Record $17 Billion Cash: Commodities
By Yuriy Humber and Ichiro Suzuki
Mitsui & Co. (8031), holding a record $17 billion in cash, wants to buy mining stakes and expand operations to triple copper output and more than double coal production, easing its reliance on iron ore sales.
The biggest Japanese iron ore supplier is looking to buy 9 million metric tons of annual coal production from Russia, Australia, South America and Africa, Fuminobu Kawashima, head of resources of the Tokyo-based company, said in an interview. Mitsui also wants to add 120,000 tons of copper a year from South America, expecting Chinese demand will expand, he said.
Copper will average $9,000 a ton this year, according to Barclays, or $8,500 a ton, according to JPMorgan & Chase Co. Photographer: Bartek Sadowski/Bloomberg
“Iron ore makes a very strong contribution to our profit, and I’d like to see it balanced,” Kawashima said. Iron ore, the main raw material for making steel, provides more than half of Mitsui’s net income, according to Barclays Capital. (JNK)
The most resource-dependent of the Japanese trading companies has the most cash since 1993, after ore prices gained more than tenfold in the past decade. Separately, Mitsui is expanding mining ventures with partners including Chile’s Codelco, Rio Tinto Group (RIO) and BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP) as metals prices hover near historical highs.
“Iron ore lends Mitsui competitive strength and supports profits, but in the mid- to long-term it’s important to widen the pipeline,” Barclays analyst Kazuhisa Mori said by telephone in Tokyo. “Copper is a promising commodity.”
The company may take advantage of the recent price drop in copper, the metal used in wires and pipes. It has declined 13 percent to $8,618 per ton in London during the past 12 months as concerns over Europe’s debt crisis and a slowdown in Chinese economy cut demand.
Copper will average $9,000 a ton this year, according to Barclays, or $8,500 a ton, according to JPMorgan & Chase Co. (JPM) A strengthening of the U.S. economy is helping boost demand from consumers and investors, which indicates a third annual shortage in 2012, according to Barclays.
Mitsui may partner with Codelco, the world’s biggest copper producer, should the Chilean company expand outside the country, said Kawashima, who’s also the senior executive managing officer. The company reported $16.9 billion of cash and near- cash items in the fiscal third quarter.
Mining deals are accelerating as companies struggle to replace depleting deposits and China’s industrial growth stokes demand for metals. More than $27 billion was spent globally on copper deals in the last 12 months, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, compared with $169 billion on all mining deals.
Mitsui shares have lost about 8 percent in the last 12 months and, along with Mitsubishi Corp. (8058), which has dropped 15 percent, has underperformed peers in the MSCI World Trading (MXWO0TD) Companies & Distributors index, which gained 1.9 percent in the period. The stock trades at about 7.3 times estimated earnings, below the index’s average ratio of 15.9 times, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
The value of mining companies has fallen 22 percent from a year-high in April on concern economic volatility may continue, curbing demand for commodities. That may create buying opportunities for Mitsui outside iron ore, SMBC Nikko Securities Inc. (NKCS) analyst Takashi Murakami said by phone in Tokyo.
“There is a feeling that outside of iron ore Mitsui’s resource are weak,” Murakami said.“It’s a good time to pick up mining assets.”
The Japanese trader is spending 260 billion yen ($3.21 billion) on resources in the current fiscal year ending March 31, representing about 37 percent of its total investments. Mitsui relied on metals and energy for almost all September quarter profit, Barclays said in a Feb. 21 report. It’s spent more than $25 billion on investments in the past decade to the end of 2011.
“If we don’t secure resources we’ll lose out to the competition abroad,” Kawashima said.
The company has spent $18 billion on deals in the past decade, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Its biggest sole purchase was the $1.1 billion cash purchase of a minority stake in Malasia’s Integrated Healthcare Holdings Ltd. in May.
Mitsui expects copper output of 63,000 tons this fiscal year. That’s less than half the 140,000 tons Mitsubishi secured in the previous fiscal year and less than Marubeni Corp. (8002)’s 125,000 ton target for this year. Mitsubishi expects its copper output to jump to 250,000 tons in 2012, it said Feb. 1.
Globally, copper consumption will outpace supply by 376,000 tons this year and there will be another shortage in 2013, Barclays said in a Feb. 29 report.
The gap in copper production between the Japanese trading houses could widen even further after Mitsubishi agreed to buy a 24.5 percent stake in Anglo American Plc. (AAL)’s Sur unit in Chile in November, a month after Mitsui said it would provide partner Codelco with a loan to buy a 49 percent share in the same asset. Mitsui’s loan allowed the Tokyo-based trader later to buy half of Codelco’s Sur shares.
Codelco is challenging the Mitsubishi transaction in Chilean courts, saying it thwarted its rights to buy Sur shares. Mitsui owns stakes in a U.S. copper mine and three in Chile, where it works also with Pan Pacific Copper Co. (PPCCZ), Japan’s biggest maker of the metal.
In coal, Mitsui is targeting a doubling in output to 18 million tons by about 2017, Kawashima said. That would help Mitsui close the gap with Mitsubishi’s 29.1 million ton production, the most of the trading houses, and Itochu Corp. (8001)’s forecast 20 million tons. The alliance Mitsubishi has with BHP is the world’s biggest coal supplier.
Thermal coal sales to Japan, the world’s second-biggest buyer of the power-station fuel, are set to rebound this year, according to Citigroup Inc. (C) Purchases may rise 3 percent to 104 million tons in 2012, exceeding last year and 2010, Daiwa Capital Markets says.
All but two of Japan’s 54 nuclear plants remain idle almost 12 months after the March 11 disaster, boosting the need for thermal generation.
The spot price for Australian coking coal exceeded $330 per ton as a result of floods in the country, scaling back to $220 per ton currently, JPMorgan said in a Feb. 15 report. Coking coal may bottom out in the April-to-June period before rising as the cost of mining increases, Akira Kishimoto, an analyst with JPMorgan in Tokyo, said in the report.
Finding coal projects at “prices that meet our expectations” is proving tough, Kawashima said. Mitsui still wants to persevere in securing more coal from Mongolia, though a political “reset” there has stalled efforts, he said.
Mongolia, which is due for parliamentary elections in June, has delayed last year’s decision on which companies will develop the west-central part of a 6-billion-ton Tavan Tolgoi coal deposit. Mitsui bid to develop the West Tsankhi area with China’s Shenhua Group (SHGCLZ), the world’s biggest coal miner, and is still pursuing that interest, Kawashima said.
State-run Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi agreed to supply all of the coal from the East Tsankhi area to Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd., which in turn is due to sell 30 percent of the total to Mitsui, Itochu, and Korea Resources Corp.
Mitsui will also continue to consider adding iron ore production, Kawashima said. The trader set up a department last year to search for projects also outside of Australia, where all of its ore comes from, he said.
“We’re watching and performing feasibility studies on projects in Russia and Africa,” he said. “Everywhere has its difficulties but if they find a good asset, we’ll go there.”